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The Chinese shipping rises suddenly vibrates the whole world

Editor's note: Presses with the aid of the Chinese trade to be able to be stationed the world each place represent place information resources superiority, today this version elected to ascend the global different area and the country, the different profession and the crowd about China's appraisal. Although the standpoint and the angle is different, but the common ground is: The Chinese market demand growth and slows down, impels the global partial market growth and slows down; Chinese government's economical decision, affects the global correlation profession and the correlation industry pattern change, " the Chinese factor " becomes the more and more important role in the global economy development, the Chinese economical wind and cloud change tendency, already became any country, any multinational corporation and any profession can not but the value " the Chinese index ".

After continues today article, we also will continue last year the research, in this page layout discussion " the Chinese index " the question, the reader which the welcome had the interest attends our discussion.

Covers irritates the nose the coal smoke in Chinese coastal city Tianjin is so strong, down to the Tianjin port (TianjinPort) President to your people from his office, is farthest only can reluctantly see to 21 buildings under the wharf.

But Mr. Wang the mood is happy. The Chinese Industrial Revolution scale and the speed, has impelled harbor and so on Tianjin to enter the expansion and the investment peak, moreover this kind of upsurge has not been weaken sign. The Tianjin port service object is capital Beijing.

Mr. Wang anticipated, in 2004 the Tianjin port container and the bulk ship freight volume will grow 25%, will increase 40000000 tons again in in 2003 numeral, will cause the Tianjin port every year the volume of goods handled to surpass 200000000 tons. In increases the harbor capacity in the competition, this country will control the stock the wharf plan puts approximately 3000000000 Yuan Renminbi within from now on 5 years.

30 years ago have started since Mr. Wang in this harbor work, the exportation and the import proportion has had the very big change. Above century 80's, the Tianjin port is the crude oil exportation and the finished product import channel. Now natural law in turn: The raw material and the part is transported, satisfies the Chinese industry machinery the need; The consumable is shipped out, delivered in the past each place store. " 10 years ago we import end product and so on the electron, " Mr. Wang recollects says, " now we export these things."

The world each place harbor has felt, China as trade great nation rise suddenly, the impact which brings for the global market. Not only that, the Chinese economy revives, produced to formerly the spiritless global shipping industry and the ship-building industry stimulates the effect.

Clarksons trustee General Manager Martin - Si (MartinStopford) describes, this " nearly definitely is for 50 year best shipping industry cycles peak ". In two years half time, the Pacific Ocean each place container cargo has increased 50%. Locates London Clarksons, is the ships broker discusses and the shipping service group.

The ClarkSea index is weighs the oil tanker, the bulk ship and the container average hiring income overall target. Now, the ClarkSea index has risen from the above century 90's daily average 9900 American dollars to the exceed 42000 American dollars. The Si estimate, in 2003 the shipping industry altogether earns 57000000000 American dollars, in 2004 possibly gains to 80000000000 American dollars. " No matter precise numeral is what, the shipowner is earning the trough full earthen bowl completely." He in richly will pass the bank (FortisBank) at the short-term seminar expresses.

The Chinese raw material import, as well as from the furniture to the computer and so on each kind of product exportation, continuously all is the global shipping market driving influence, regarding this nobody suspicion. According to Bank of Switzerland (UBS) the statistics, by the weight computation, China in 2003 occupies the American import cargo 37%, compared in 1989 only rises 5%. Only American retail merchant Masurium (Wal - Mart) one, occupied USA to the Chinese trade deficit 1/10.

Many people all want to know, China rises suddenly with increases suddenly take the Chinese assembly factory as the central Asian interior trade, whether had produced compared to one turn booming rises again a more lasting thing. The Hong Kong shipping group East overseas international (OrientOverseasInternational) President Dong completes is has one this question person.

He indicates, past in several years, the iron ore sum aggregate packing cargo trade rate of rise, continuously greatly was higher than formerly 20 years average rate of growth. " Looks from the statistical angle, we are witnessing the historical transformation I can find out the only reason is: China joined the World Trade Organization (WTO)." Mr. Dong said: " Even if our industry continues to assume circulation situation, we also possibly are compare in the high level in one the circulation." Only his company on has ordered 20 ships, but the new ship market demand is so big, down to new ship ordering time must surpass three years.

Auspicious silver shipping industry analyst Raymond - Maguire (RaymondMaguire) believes firmly, the global shipping industry truly in experiences one " the transformation which hundred years as soon as meets ", because of along with the Chinese factory import spare part assembly, and re- exports the end product world each place, China has become on the global supply chain the focal point.

USA finally definitely can slow down from China imports certain professions the product, for example the shoes class and the toy (China has accounted for American import quantity 80%), but the freight transportation current capacity possibly can maintain, because retail merchant in order to reduce the cost and with the Masurium competition, can be more and more many gives the product production item China. At the same time, the Chinese industry will shift to the value chain upstream, and will launch the competition on a more complex product. Bank of Switzerland indicates, Europe possibly increases the Chinese electronic products and the mechanical product import.

The textile kimono installs the import the global quota system, has cancelled to on this January 1st. As a result of American and the European country worry, China exported still has the possibility receives limits, but nearly without a doubt, the Chinese textile freight transportation will appear one period of time the fast growths. " I think that is the next freight transportation prosperity time, " Mr. Maguire expresses.

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