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4th quarter Europe steel mill small pulls the high plate selling price, but Europe
proposes the price benefits is strong to the demand. In USA, all varieties
specification thin steel plate base price all had on remarkably moves, makes up scrap
steel extra charge glide down. East Asian thin steel plate price withstanding decline
pressure, local user purchase . The Chinese thin steel plate output continues to grow, the
domestic selling price falls. The current key question is, the Chinese domestic steel and
iron market supply and demand restores before the balance, how many will China have too
much steel products wells up to the peripheral country and the area.
North America and the Western Europe steel mill diligently is enhancing the steel products
product price, but obtains the achievement is not same. Asia, specially China, the thin
steel plate sale situation does not accommodate optimistically, compares with the
production increase, the demand growth is slower. But, the Asian market is murky as if
also not affects other areas. The analyst points out, about the scrap steel price
undulates much only is affects the high-quality material market, but the thin steel plate
user returns to the market purchase, the performance is positive.
The European steel mill announces the 4th quarter propose the price were accepted whether
already by the market is worth suspecting, but at least achieved the guarantee price could
not decline goal. In fact, the majority local market all accepted thin steel plate small
proposes the price. This means, the European steel mill fixed price is considers the
import factor, small will propose the price causes to intend to purchase the inexpensive
import product the user cancellation or postpones under the list. When this year summer,
the import thin steel plate continuously attacks the European thin steel plate selling
price.
In USA, the steel mill regarding the thin steel plate market strong confidence by the fact
proof is correct. When the scrap steel extra charge moves high, the American steel mill
first has the ability guarantees the market is stable. But the lo month, the scrap steel
price glides down, the steel mill similarly also has in the ability moves . The past two
months, the American thin steel plate selling price enhanced 50 American dollars /
(55 American dollar / t), and to the year's end before, the steel mill all will obtain the
stable order form.
Asia's condition far is inferior to Europe and America, the market transaction is murky,
the effective demand is insufficient, creates this local stock and may supply the purchase
the thin steel plate quantity to be sufficient, even appears too much. Although the people
worry the Asian market will be under the Chinese thin steel plate latent exportation
ability huge impact, but in fact, certainly will do not have the large quantities of
Chinese product to well up the overseas. But, the low price already will limit Asian the
import scale, the user anticipated from now on several months the price also can walk
softly, therefore mostly postponed the purchase.
Past two months period, and falls along with the scrap steel price rise, the high-quality
material price also experienced a bigger undulation. Is strong and under the order
quantity full strut in the demand, the European steel mill success proposes the price. In
the overall looks, the European high-quality material market all will maintain before the
year's end exuberantly, but the individual national steel bar and the good line demand
will be able to glide down. , the demand is specially strong, the steel mill already
will start to sign the next year .
American steel mill high-quality material product , but also will have the ability
enhances two months productions majority product price, the market is from now on huge
regarding the width reason demand. However, the region in the high-quality material
supply too much, as well as the demand murky influence, the Southeast Asia user
successfully forces the supplier low price promotion.
After the experience ebb tide time, the general use market transaction already
started the resilience, the price rise, specially USA. Even is in Europe, when inexpensive
imports the competition weakens, the middle business and the user stock adjustment
ends, the price boost pressure walks strongly. The Asian user does not hope to expand the
purchase, stores up the stock, creates the decline pressure to the price, but the deck
price is more ideal. The European and American main expense profession booming rise,
the architecture industry demand and the reconstruction stock simultaneously appeared
causes the market demand to surpass the old times same time level. South USA various
states suffer the hurricane disaster in the summer, loses seriously, the reconstruction
project needs massively . The American automobile industry trend is worth paying attention
to, 8 ~ 9 sales conditions are not good, but believes the year's end ago can have the
obvious growth. Besides England, the majority Europe country automobile market continues
to maintain booming. The Eastern European country automobile demand growth is in
particular very quick.
According to the international steel cooperates the statistics, in October the world thick
steel output same ratio grows 3. 5%. Among them, and the North America output drop
scope is bigger, South America and the alone union body country slightly has the
reduction, but Asian, African and the Middle East area output still had a bigger rise. In
Asia, Indian steel output strong growth, but besides China's other countries and area then
basically and the last year same time is impartial. Until now, the Chinese steel output
increased 55000000 t, surpassed the global grand total increases the output, demonstrated
other national and the local steel output even more approached the actual expense scale.
Continues along with the Chinese steel output largely to climb, causes the steel mill to
detect further impels the user to expend, perhaps stimulates the user pulls the high stock
all changes extremely difficultly. According to analyst's newest appraisal, at the end of
September, the Chinese steel products reserve is 900 ~ 10000000 t, is equal increases
1000000 t to each month. But, at present does not have the sign to indicate, these
increase production the steel products can flow to exports the market, simultaneously
means, in the short-term China supplies too much cannot attack the global steel and iron
trade pattern.
The European steel mill biggest desire is guarantees the 4th quarter steel products market
price the stability. They already will prepare in the next year 1st quarter to propose the
price. Certainly, now will draw the conclusion, the demand supports the high price, but
also will be was early too, but if steel mill could be stable in seasonal demand murky 4th
quarter guarantee price, next year the 1st quarter will raise the price political work the
possibility is quite big. Last year year's end the excessive purchase created the deeply
grieved memory, make the European and American user to be extremely discrete regarding the
4th quarter stock adjustments. The American steel mill hopes the demand is relatively
strong can maintain one period of time, the steel mill anxiously needs to improve the
profit level. If city field energy withstanding at present price, even is the high price,
the steel mill through the formulation , adjusts the scrap steel extra charge about
undulates, restores the management profit which extrudes.
Moreover, because soon signs the steel products with the user long-term , the steel mill
needs the 4th quarter selling prices is strong, enables it to occupy the leading status in
the negotiations. However, the steel mill also will carry on the price negotiations in the
iron ore supplier, therefore the iron ore supplier also will hope the steel products price
will walk high. Is the iron ore negotiations is advantageous which to the European and
American steel mill from China, Japan and the far east starts, at present the Chinese end
product steel products price extremely is worn out.
Previously once worried whether or not can the 4th quarter Europe steel price did maintain
stably, the fact proved, the main force steel mill 4th quarter successfully enhanced
thin steel plate price small 5 - 15 euro / t. The inexpensive import product always poses
the threat to the local price, specially the user feels the price already achieved the
valley, as necessary all possible resilience. The 4th at the beginning of quarter, the
European steel mill will realize proposes the price is advantageous to the next year 1st
quarter condenses further proposes the price the power. Now already will have the steel
mill expresses the next year to the user raises the price wish, some users in order to
reduce the next year the management pressure, considered ahead of time purchases.
Similarly, in USA, the demand, the purchase intention and raises the price power, all
indicates the next year 1st quarter USA steel and iron market also will continue to
prosper. The steel mill worries is from this possibly can stimulate originally leaves
unused produces can return the market. Once the fact really so, the 1st quarter still was
the market seasonal characteristic bleak time, the American steel price also possibly
reverses. Moreover, at present the American steel price outdoes the global other areas
very many, without doubt will attract the overseas steel products import, if the American
actual expense demand will not be able to digest again, then will reduce prices the
possibility will be quite big. The import question cannot disturb the European question in
the short-term.
At least is current, China supplied too much obviously is is exaggerated to the global
steel price impact. The overseas analyst too worries. The Chinese steel products output /
produces can grow surpassed the domestic market the carrying capacity, the surplus branch
wells up to exports the market. In fact, on the one hand the Chinese steel mill intends
the underproduction, on the other hand had the data display, the rate of rise which the
Chinese steel products expended is underestimated. Regardless of has not been the
half-finished product or the end product steel products, China all to Southeast Asia or
other local large scale increase exportation. Although the Chinese peripheral market has
becomes less crowded, but merely is Yu Bo which China domestic reduces prices.
Because the Chinese not massive steel products exportation, enables other local steel
mills to have the ability guarantees the output and the actual expense matches, the steel
price can be steady has the litre, and this tendency hopefully will continue to the next
year 2nd quarter. In the near future, the global main iron and steel enterprise in
abundance will indicate, the maintenance enterprise's profit ability will expand the
market share the production increase is more important than, from this will be allowed to
believe, the next market will shake the scope can be more and more small.
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